Wednesday, September 24, 2014

2013-2014 PICK & ROLL CALL LEAGUE AWARDS (and All-Time Ranking Update)

Below are the long-awaited awards from last year. At the end of the post are the updated All-Time Rankings, with some interesting shifts and some close races. There could be some serious movement in the rankings after the 2014-15 season.

P&RCL Awards for 2013-2014

Best Keepers (75 ATPs):  Young Gay Love Favors.  I’ve dominated this the past two years but my Derrick Rose misstep and the Tobias Harris lackluster follow-up knock me out of contention. And that’s saying something, because nobody had a front-to-back awesome keeper year. Chris, however, was closest. Durant is about as sure a sure thing as there is and one of the best keepers despite having no built-in discount as a first-rounder. Sure, Westbrook had a couple more surgeries and wasn’t a sure bet to come back when he did, but the reasonable expectation would have been that he got back to where he did get back to by season’s end. Paul George is a first-rounder in the eleventh and repaid that like he was supposed to. (Oh, and Chris looks to win this next year easily barring some out-of-nowhere explosion from guys like The Greek Freak, Lance Stephenson, or some other late-round guy – or a freak international-basketball-related injury. Man, poor Paul George.)
 
Best Draft (75 ATPs):  Nutcrushers.  Just to reiterate the rules on this one, I try to avoid hindsight as much as possible. The conception is to reward what I consider the best draft at the time of the draft, discounting people lost to injury (if it wasn’t reasonably foreseeable) or out-of-nowhere luck on a breakout campaign. But that’s really hard to do this year.

Three of the best picks in a long time came on late-round gambles (DeAndre for me, Ariza for Alan, and Stephenson for Connor). Of those, Ariza seems the least likely success – Alan got quite lucky on that one, and I think he’d agree he didn’t expect Ariza to end up as the 25th best player (by averages) on the season (maybe top 50 if he were optimistic, but that’s quite a gap). I expected good things from Jordan, but again, I’d be lying if I thought he’d be that good (he ended up as the 40th best by averages and 39th by totals; I was thinking top-60-ish). But the fact is both DeAndre and Lance are now very interesting keeper options (Ariza less so as he’s older and a free agent, Stephenson despite the fact he only ended up as a top-100-ish player).

Drafting well is about more than good picks, though. (Every team had at least one great pick – Noah in the fourth and DeRozan in the tenth for Nick, Dragic in the fourth and Afflalo in the twelfth for Anna, Andre Drummond in the sixth and Carter-Williams in the tenth for Vivek, Korver and Stephenson for Connor, Gortat and Bosh for Chris, etc.) For instance, Annan’s draft: his first six rounds are super solid (especially Lowry in the fifth), but he also drafted Granger, Bargnani, and Gerald Wallace – all horrible picks at the time. So you have to avoid those clunkers, too, especially in the middle rounds where team strength is really determined. (Unfortunately, everybody had some clunkers, too.)

Let me stop chewing space and get to the explanation: from top to bottom, based on as little hindsight as possible, I’m going to pick Nutcrusher’s draft as the best of last year. Nick got gobsmacked with some bad luck, y’all. But at the time, I thought he made a solid pick at almost every turn, building in upside at various points. I certainly would not have predicted Pau’s year from hell after the departure of Howard; I thought that was a great pick. Vucevic and Noah were perhaps a little inflated, but solid big-man foundation picks nonetheless. 6th round for Rondo, who was rumored to be coming back around Christmas, was a great upside gamble that didn’t quite work out, but I was pissed at the time (I wanted him). Ditto gambling on Eric Gordon, who is a straight stud when healthy (thus the discount). The tail end of Nick’s draft doesn’t look too impressive in hindsight, but at the time of the draft, each one of those picks had tons of promise (except Carlos Boozer, who was just a rotation pick): a bounce-back possibility for Manu (who did end up ranked well above a 12th rounder); the microwave stylings of Thornton; Waiters potentially having a breakout (which he would have, if not for corrosive personality conflicts with Kyrie); Nene a solid pick-up for Washington; and Avery Bradley, who was on many pre-season sleeper lists.

No, it didn’t work out the way Nick wanted. Yes, maybe he took too many high-upside, injury-risk guys and deserved to get burned. But it’s amazing to me that he ended up as bad as he did. Solid last draft from Nick Quiroga.


Master of the Waiver Wire (75 ATPs):  FromDaWindowToLuol.  Awards are always interesting in hindsight. For instance, this award went to Chris last year, mostly because of Larry Sanders. And since he flipped Sanders in a trade that netted him Durant, I guess that worked out. But wow – if he would have kept that dude . . .

This year wasn’t as close as previous ones in my opinion, where a case could have been made for multiple peeps (with me coming in “second” every year; I’ve never given myself this award, which blows my mind). That changes this year. I always tend to have the most transactions, but I easily got the most production off the waiver wire last season: long stints of DJ Augustin (a top-100 guy over the second half), DeMarre Carroll (top 50-ish), Manu, Terrence Jones (top 50), and the Gorgui Dieng explosion I rode into the playoffs (top 50 over the last couple months). Sure, Chris and Dad both rode the Gerald Green train for spates, and Alan jumped on the Courtney Lee Memphis renaissance, but I think I earned this one.

(By the way, if you want a sure-fire way to continually win the regular season but lose in the playoffs – just like the Bulls – just be really active on the wire. Goddamnit.)
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Here's where the ATP rankings end up after last year's finishes and awards:

(As a quick reminder, here's how you earn ATPs:  League Championship: 500 ATPs; Second Place: 200 ATPs; Third Place: 100 ATPs; Seventh Place (winner of the Consolation Bracket): 75 ATPs; Master of the Waiver Wire: 75 ATPs; Best Keepers: 75 ATPs; and Best Draft: 75 ATPs.)

1. Chris Quiroga (Young No Mo Still Gay, Thabeet Goes On, Young Gay Love Favors): 1875 ATPs
(Rank last year: 2.)
2014 Best Keepers (75)
2014 League Champion (500)
2013 League Champion (500)
2013 Best Draft (75)
2013 Master of the Waiver Wire (75)
2012 Best Draft (75)
2012 Master of the Waiver Wire (75)
2009 League Champion (500)

2. Bob Josephson (Balding Ballers): 1400 ATPs
(Rank last year: 1.)
2012 Master of the Waiver Wire (75)
2011 League Champion (500)
2011 Best Draft (75)
2011 Best Keepers (75)
2010 League Champion (500)
2009 Best Draft (75)
2009 Third Place (100)

3. Nick Quiroga/KC Tajaran (Nutcrushers): 925 ATPs
(Rank last year: 3.)
2014 Best Draft (75)
2013 Second Place (200)
2012 League Champion (500)
2011 Best Keepers (75)
2009 Master of the Waiver Wire (75)

4. Andy Josephson (Something Clever, Del Harris Del Negro, Metta World Peas, FromDaWindowToLuol): 800 ATPs
(Rank last year: 4.)
2014 Master of the Waiver Wire (75)
2014 Second Place (200)
2013 Third Place (100)
2013 Best Keepers (75)
2012 Seventh Place (75)
2012 Best Keepers (75)
2011 Second Place (200)

5. J.J./Jon Jay Tajaran (Moo Moo Mussolini, Mao Meow ZeMeow, TEAM CHAMPIONS, Vujabitches, Style Points): 425 ATPs
(Rank last year: 5.)
2014 Seventh Place (75)
2011 Seventh Place (75)
2010 Second Place (200)
2010 Best Draft (75)

6. Alan Robey (Brew-Ha Bandits): 375 ATPs
(Rank last year: 6.)
2014 Third Place (100)
2010 Master of the Waiver Wire (75)
2009 Second Place (200)

7. Connor Doyle (nee Angelo Alexander) (Knights of Rodanthe, Liberal Elite Media, Los Baby Jesuses): 300 ATPs
(Rank last year: 7.)
2012 Second Place (200)
2010 Third Place (100)

8. Annan Moy (Arbitrageurs, Phi Slamma Jamma, Joakim Noah 4 EVR, Deez Nets): 250 ATPs
(Rank last year: 8.)
2013 Seventh Place (75)
2012 Third Place (100)
2011 Master of the Waiver Wire (75)

9. Vivek Raval (28 Light Years Old): 175 ATPs
(Rank last year: 9.)
2011 Third Place (100)
2010 Seventh Place (75)

10. Anna Robey (Block O): 150 ATPs
(Rank last year: 10.)
2010 Best Keepers (75)
2009 Seventh Place (75)


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